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i don't know about how effective the techniques are, i was shown one once, and don't remember much. I don't do Aikido for self defense, so i don't have much need to work on that aspect anyway, but i can readily think of a situation where someone is holding a gun on you, and you know he will use it---a soon to be ex- who would rather see you dead than free of him. You can try to negotiate with someone like that, but with all the times you hear of a woman being shot by her husband, how often do you hear of her talking him out of it? for folks doing Aikido for situations like that, rather than say they don't work, i say good luck and work hard on those techniques.
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