My point in bringing up boxing is that we can see from the stats that a single attack actually has only a very small chance of connecting.
Well, if you only train withat single attack (which is what is pretty standard in conventional Aikido), then you're stuck. Yes, the same principles apply, but I think that it's a pretty big leap to make on the fly.
There's nothing wrong with throwing your attacker down (as you mentioned in another post), but the same problem applies. If you look at Judo or other grappling arts, you can see that only a small percentage of throws actually go to completion cleanly.
It's a similar problem, IMO.
I think I see what Chris is getting at, but there are a multitude of reasons for those percentages.
In my opinion, that is what aiki is all about. . .
Randomness is not acceptable.